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How Much Have the Diamondbacks Improved?

Qualls has big shoes to fill (John Miller/AP)

The Arizona Diamondbacks are more experienced than last year, ostensibly healthier than last year, and they've replaced Livan Hernandez with Dan Haren. How can they not improve on what was the National League's best overall record last season?

You've certainly heard that the Arizona Diamondbacks should have only won 79 games based on the number of runs scored and runs allowed last season.  But it gets worse.  Baseball Prospectus developed a stat called Third Order Wins that accounts for the components of runs (walks, hits, stolen bases, etc.) as well as the strength of opponents to determine how many wins a team would have won...

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